The Australian stock market fell for the fourth consecutive trading day, led by mining stocks. The Australian stock market fell with the US stock market on Friday, with mining stocks falling the most. The day before, the unemployment rate in Australia fell sharply in November, prompting investors to reduce their bets on interest rate cuts in February. Australia's S&P/ASX 200 index fell 0.7% to 8276.5, the fourth consecutive trading day. The benchmark fell by about 1.6% this week, the biggest weekly decline since early August.The UN Secretary-General is deeply concerned about the extensive violation of Syrian sovereignty. On the 12th, UN Secretary-General Guterres issued a statement through spokesman Dujaric, expressing deep concern about the recent extensive violation of Syrian sovereignty and territorial integrity, especially the hundreds of Israeli air strikes against Syria. The statement said that the Disengagement of Forces Agreement signed in 1974 is still valid. Guterres condemned all violations of the agreement and called on all parties to fulfill their relevant obligations, including ending all unauthorized presence in the isolation zone and avoiding any actions that undermine the ceasefire and stability in the Golan Heights. (Xinhua News Agency)The UN Secretary-General is deeply concerned about the extensive violation of Syrian sovereignty. On the 12th, UN Secretary-General Guterres issued a statement through spokesman Dujaric, expressing deep concern about the recent extensive violation of Syrian sovereignty and territorial integrity, especially the hundreds of Israeli air strikes against Syria. The statement said that the Disengagement of Forces Agreement signed in 1974 is still valid. Guterres condemned all violations of the agreement and called on all parties to fulfill their relevant obligations, including ending all unauthorized presence in the isolation zone and avoiding any actions that undermine the ceasefire and stability in the Golan Heights. (Xinhua News Agency)
The dollar rose to 152.91 yen against the yen, the highest since November 27.The Henan provincial government and Shenzhen Stock Exchange signed a strategic cooperation agreement. According to the news of Henan government network, on December 12, the Henan provincial government and Shenzhen Stock Exchange signed a strategic cooperation agreement in Zhengzhou, and reached a cooperation intention on jointly promoting capital market construction and promoting local economic development. The two sides will adhere to the principles of complementary advantages, resource sharing, project traction, innovation and win-win, and establish an all-round, multi-level, long-term stable, cooperative and mutually beneficial strategic cooperative relationship; Focusing on the implementation of major national strategies and the key industrial chain groups cultivated in Henan Province, we will intensify the cultivation and promote more high-quality enterprises to go public; Give full play to the role of industry-finance service platform and further broaden financing channels; Establish an all-round communication mechanism, strengthen information sharing and work coordination, and jointly create a good environment for the development of the capital market.Guotai Junan: It is expected that the lithium price will fluctuate in the bottom range in 2025, and there is a strong opportunity and space for rebound. Guotai Junan Securities recently reported that the lithium price has entered the bottom range by the end of 2024. If the demand maintains the current neutral estimate in 2025, the lithium price will fluctuate in the bottom range. At present, the market is optimistic about the demand in 2025, and the industry supply has slowed down. It is estimated that the price trend of lithium will fluctuate in the bottom range in 2025, in which the stage is affected by seasonal factors and there is a strong rebound opportunity and space. The market expected the trading of lithium plate earlier, that is, when the commodity price bottomed out, the lithium plate already contained the expectation of industrial clearing. When the industry actually enters the stage of supply and clearing, the sector will trade commodity price reversal expectations. From this, we infer that the rise of lithium plate will start before the spot price reverses.
Zhou Hongchun, a researcher at the State Council Development Research Center: Cultivating green buildings will form a new economic growth point. The Central Economic Work Conference proposed to jointly promote carbon reduction, pollution reduction and green growth, and step up the comprehensive green transformation of economic and social development. In this regard, Zhou Hongchun, a researcher at the the State Council Development Research Center, said that reducing carbon, reducing pollution and expanding green growth is the proper logic for China's high-quality economic development. The essence is to strengthen systematic thinking, pay attention to the coordination of various policies and reform and opening-up measures, and realize the green transformation and sustainable development of China's economy and society.In the first 11 months of GEM, the scale of raising funds by issuing 34 new shares dropped significantly year-on-year. Statistics show that from January to November, 2024, there were 34 new shares listed on GEM, with a total amount of raised funds of about 20.174 billion yuan. The number of issues and the scale of raising funds decreased by about 67% and 83% respectively year-on-year, and the number of listed new shares declined for three consecutive years. Among them, Nova Nebula and Yilian Technology have raised a total of more than 1 billion yuan, which is on the top. The share prices of the first-time shares of GEM all rose on the first day of listing, among which Changlian Technology and Shangda Shares rose more than 1000% on the first day of listing. In addition, there are 17 new shares listed income increased by more than 200%. In terms of underwriters, in the first November of 2024, the number of main underwriting projects of CITIC Jiantou, Guotai Junan and CICC was in the top three. Judging from the scale of fundraising, the total number of projects underwritten by Minsheng Securities and CITIC Jiantou exceeds 2.5 billion yuan, and the project scale of China Merchants Securities, Huatai United Securities and Guotai Junan exceeds 1.5 billion yuan. (Xinhua Finance)CITIC Securities: It is expected that the global semiconductor and hardware fundamentals will resume their upward trend from the second quarter of next year. According to the CITIC Securities Research Report, the global semiconductor and hardware fundamentals are expected to remain weak from the fourth quarter of 2024 to the first quarter of 2025, and will resume their upward trend from the second quarter of 2025. Similar to 2024, GenAI is expected to continue to be the core driving force, but industrial opportunities are expected to continue to spread around NVIDIA. At the same time, we should also pay attention to the recovery progress of IT expenditure of European and American enterprises after the US election, the pull of end-side AI and windows10 EOL on consumer electronics and bulk storage chips, and the recovery process of automobile and industrial sectors at the bottom of the cycle. Tariff and trade policies, US macro and inflation data, and GenAI technology progress are expected to continue to be the core influencing variables of the industry. At the sub-sector level, our preference order is: advanced process, AI network (Ethernet equipment and high-speed interface), AI computing chip (ASIC, commercial GPU), AI server, enterprise IT equipment (network equipment, high-end storage, general server), consumer electronics (PC, mobile phone), analog chip, semiconductor equipment, bulk storage chip, mature process and so on.
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14